tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1951 Southwest BNA 11:02 BDL 14:33 9% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 146 Southwest BNA 11:18 BDL 14:36 10% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 08:02 → ATL 10:15DL 2802 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739 7h 14m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439 1h 44m Detroit DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163 5h 08m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 49m Atlanta ATL 08:10 → BDL 10:30DL 2951 4h 20m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3069 4h 00m Atlanta ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735 7h 38m 100% 87%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 14:05 → BWI 17:04WN 462 3h 05m Baltimore BWI 20:09 → BDL 21:36WN 878 6h 31m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:03 → MSP 12:14DL 2724 2h 12m Minneapolis MSP 14:26 → BDL 18:04DL 2285 7h 01m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682 1h 49m Detroit DTW 14:35 → BDL 16:18DL 2814 5h 12m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082 5h 27m 98% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → BNA 15:44 → MDW 17:21WN 575 47m Chicago MDW 18:08 → BDL 21:13WN 1925 4h 29m 73% 56%
AmericanDetails → BNA 16:30 → MIA 19:52AA 487 52m Miami MIA 20:44 → BDL 23:55AA 1272 6h 25m 54% 31%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON