tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2441 Southwest BNA 10:35 CVG 12:45 10% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 3984 Southwest BNA 18:35 CVG 20:43 19% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 15m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149 5h 10m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 5h 53m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:00 → MSP 18:14DL 2843 2h 06m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469 6h 11m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 11:15 → BOS 14:59DL 2141 2h 01m Boston BOS 17:00 → CVG 19:40DL 5620 · flown by Republic 7h 25m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119 5h 47m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:51 → ATL 17:04DL 3159 3h 11m Atlanta ATL 20:15 → CVG 21:45DL 2248 5h 54m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → BNA 05:15 → ORD 07:07AA 4964 · flown by SkyWest 3h 08m Chicago ORD 10:15 → CVG 12:30AA 3950 · flown by Envoy 6h 15m 98% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:00 → JFK 13:30DL 4919 · flown by Endeavor 50m New York JFK 14:20 → CVG 16:51DL 5012 · flown by Endeavor 5h 51m 69% 50%
DeltaDetails → BNA 13:53 → JFK 17:39DL 4662 · flown by Endeavor 50m New York JFK 18:29 → CVG 21:05DL 5023 · flown by Endeavor 6h 12m 64% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON