tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4386 Southwest BNA 10:09 IND 12:21 5% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 435 Southwest BNA 18:54 IND 21:04 14% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:02 → LGA 12:25DL 5638 · flown by Republic 2h 18m New York LGA 14:43 → IND 17:13DL 5646 · flown by Republic 7h 11m 100% 95%
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465 3h 06m Chicago ORD 12:47 → IND 15:03UA 3702 · flown by Republic 6h 23m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 6h 26m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 15:55 → IND 17:35DL 2979 6h 47m 100% 93%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:21 → IAD 11:08UA 1709 1h 31m Dulles IAD 12:39 → IND 14:24UA 3543 · flown by Republic 5h 03m 98% 92%
UnitedDetails → BNA 12:49 → ORD 14:50UA 1616 2h 49m Chicago ORD 17:39 → IND 19:56UA 3628 · flown by Republic 6h 07m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:03 → MSP 12:14DL 2724 3h 31m Minneapolis MSP 15:45 → IND 18:22DL 1456 7h 19m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:00 → MSP 18:14DL 2843 3h 26m Minneapolis MSP 21:40 → IND 00:16 +1DL 674 7h 16m 100% 90%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON