Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1086 Southwest	BNA 08:25	MKE 10:00	4%	1%	0.5%	no record
WN 3233 Southwest	BNA 19:01	MKE 20:33	11%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151	6h 43m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246	6h 18m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:00 → MSP 08:10DL 2221	1h 55m Minneapolis	MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561	5h 17m	98%	91%
Southwest Details →	BNA 14:06 → BWI 16:58WN 462	2h 52m Baltimore	BWI 19:50 → MKE 20:50WN 516	6h 44m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206	6h 43m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:03 → MSP 12:14DL 2724	1h 40m Minneapolis	MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006	5h 06m	98%	90%
Southwest Details →	BNA 09:16 → DCA 12:01WN 490	3h 44m Washington	DCA 15:45 → MKE 16:42WN 2850	7h 26m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 15:50 → MKE 16:02DL 1343	5h 56m	99%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON