Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2592 at 11:02, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2592 Southwest	BNA 11:02	PVD 14:27	4%	1%	0.4%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Providence on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → PVD 12:29DL 2147	6h 19m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439	1h 25m Detroit	DTW 10:11 → PVD 12:16DL 3723 · flown by SkyWest	5h 11m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 21:27 → PVD 23:57DL 2064	6h 26m	99%	90%
Southwest Details →	BNA 14:06 → BWI 16:58WN 462	3h 04m Baltimore	BWI 20:02 → PVD 21:22WN 582	6h 16m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 14:02 → PVD 16:29DL 2314	5h 41m	98%	90%
American Details →	BNA 08:26 → CLT 11:10AA 966	2h 32m Charlotte	CLT 13:42 → PVD 15:48AA 2679	6h 22m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 17:40 → PVD 20:09DL 2659	6h 31m	98%	88%
American Details →	BNA 11:52 → CLT 14:10AA 3328	2h 10m Charlotte	CLT 16:20 → PVD 18:30AA 2338	5h 38m	97%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON