tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1479 Southwest BNA 12:26 RSW 15:29 13% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 1017 Southwest BNA 16:51 RSW 19:52 20% 6% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465 1h 19m Chicago ORD 11:00 → RSW 14:51UA 2137 6h 11m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 03m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682 1h 42m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 6h 16m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 01m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 6h 52m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 5h 56m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:00 → MSP 08:10DL 2221 55m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 27m 93% 82%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:03 → MSP 12:14DL 2724 1h 09m Minneapolis MSP 13:23 → RSW 17:53DL 2219 6h 50m 97% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON