Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2808 Delta Flight history →	BOI 05:30	MSP 09:10	5%	2%	0.6%	91%
DL 2982 Delta Flight history →	BOI 14:50	MSP 18:37	10%	3%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173	3h 59m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	7h 40m	100%	91%
United Details →	BOI 05:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5924 · flown by SkyWest	2h 35m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	6h 40m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BOI 11:07 → SLC 12:22DL 1744	1h 38m Salt Lake City	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	5h 25m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	BOI 07:00 → LAX 08:20DL 3725 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Los Angeles	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	8h 50m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BOI 13:10 → SLC 14:41DL 2095	2h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935	6h 44m	99%	87%
Alaska Details →	BOI 09:01 → PDX 09:23AS 3495 · flown by SkyWest	1h 43m Portland	PDX 11:06 → MSP 16:28AS 714	6h 27m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	BOI 10:35 → SEA 11:26DL 3750 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Seattle	SEA 14:30 → MSP 19:54DL 942	8h 19m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	BOI 08:42 → SEA 09:30DL 3740 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Seattle	SEA 12:16 → MSP 17:35DL 536	7h 53m	96%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	BOI 10:35 → SEA 11:26DL 3750 · flown by SkyWest	50m Seattle	SEA 12:16 → MSP 17:35DL 536	6h 00m	57%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON