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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Detroit, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Kansas City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 675 Delta Flight history → BOS 06:10 MCI 08:41 5% 2% 0.5% 88%
DL 314 Delta Flight history → BOS 16:10 MCI 18:48 10% 3% 0.5% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:34 → BNA 10:16WN 725 2h 32m Nashville BNA 12:48 → MCI 14:30WN 558 6h 56m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:55 → MSP 08:04DL 2303 1h 58m Minneapolis MSP 10:02 → MCI 11:40DL 1349 6h 45m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:13DL 2747 7h 43m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 02m Detroit DTW 08:40 → MCI 09:44DL 2826 5h 14m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → BOS 09:32 → EWR 11:00UA 1307 3h 47m Newark EWR 14:47 → MCI 17:02UA 3436 · flown by Republic 8h 30m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 08:16 → MSP 10:25DL 1308 3h 20m Minneapolis MSP 13:45 → MCI 15:14DL 1613 7h 58m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → BOS 06:02 → PHL 07:48AA 1540 2h 14m Philadelphia PHL 10:02 → MCI 11:56AA 1480 6h 54m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695 3h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443 8h 44m 100% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON