tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: American via Charlotte, leaving 08:05, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching New Orleans on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1398 Delta Flight history → BOS 11:20 MSY 13:56 10% 2% 0.7% 85%
B6 401 JetBlue Flight history → BOS 11:15 MSY 13:48 15% 3% 0.7% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:37DL 2542 7h 07m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BOS 07:10 → MSP 09:22DL 1138 3h 23m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 9h 15m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → BOS 09:24 → DEN 11:43UA 647 1h 30m Denver DEN 13:13 → MSY 16:58UA 250 8h 34m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → MSY 14:17DL 3157 7h 17m 99% 89%
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:34 → BNA 10:16WN 725 2h 16m Nashville BNA 12:32 → MSY 14:08WN 595 6h 34m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BOS 09:05 → ATL 11:55DL 456 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146 7h 52m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 02m Detroit DTW 08:40 → MSY 10:14DL 2790 5h 44m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → BOS 08:00 → EWR 09:23UA 570 3h 10m Newark EWR 12:33 → MSY 14:44UA 2468 7h 44m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON