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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Southwest via Nashville, leaving 08:34, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:34 → BNA 10:16WN 725 3h 22m Nashville BNA 13:38 → MYR 16:11WN 846 7h 37m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 7h 30m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → BOS 06:05 → CLT 08:30AA 418 2h 50m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:29AA 5315 · flown by PSA 6h 24m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 07m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 5h 09m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → BOS 11:57 → DCA 13:49AA 4337 · flown by Republic 3h 17m Washington DCA 17:06 → MYR 18:51AA 5266 · flown by PSA 6h 54m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → BOS 10:55 → EWR 12:23UA 2394 3h 32m Newark EWR 15:55 → MYR 18:03UA 3589 · flown by Republic 7h 08m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BOS 16:30 → ATL 19:38DL 399 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 7h 25m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → BOS 05:51 → PHL 07:33AA 1540 47m Philadelphia PHL 08:20 → MYR 10:09AA 6107 · flown by Piedmont 4h 18m 95% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON