Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 1813 at 15:27, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1813 JetBlue Flight history →	BOS 15:27	ORF 17:10	11%	4%	0.6%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Norfolk on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019	2h 29m Detroit	DTW 10:07 → ORF 12:02DL 3066	6h 32m	99%	93%
American Details →	BOS 11:30 → JFK 12:54AA 4687 · flown by Republic	2h 36m New York	JFK 15:30 → ORF 17:09AA 4359 · flown by Republic	5h 39m	99%	92%
United Details →	BOS 09:25 → IAD 11:07UA 2098	1h 58m Dulles	IAD 13:05 → ORF 14:17UA 6313 · flown by Mesa	4h 52m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 12:23 → ORF 14:10DL 2925	7h 25m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	1h 25m Atlanta	ATL 09:46 → ORF 11:28DL 2755	5h 58m	100%	90%
Southwest Details →	BOS 15:20 → BWI 16:53WN 735	3h 40m Baltimore	BWI 20:33 → ORF 21:27WN 4920	6h 07m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 14:10 → ORF 15:50DL 1101	7h 50m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BOS 17:15 → DTW 19:39DL 1432	2h 01m Detroit	DTW 21:40 → ORF 23:32DL 412	6h 17m	96%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON