Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 865 at 06:58, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 865 JetBlue Flight history →	BUF 06:58	FLL 09:58	6%	2%	0.7%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUF 06:00 → ATL 08:05DL 2664	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 20m	100%	90%
American Details →	BUF 06:01 → CLT 08:01AA 1204	2h 45m Charlotte	CLT 10:46 → FLL 13:10AA 2585	7h 09m	98%	90%
Southwest Details →	BUF 06:00 → BWI 07:15WN 756	1h 17m Baltimore	BWI 08:32 → FLL 11:23WN 942	5h 23m	97%	89%
United Details →	BUF 07:06 → ORD 07:55UA 543	3h 04m Chicago	ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279	8h 07m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BUF 07:00 → JFK 08:30DL 5284 · flown by Endeavor	2h 44m New York	JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305	7h 24m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	BUF 06:05 → LGA 07:32DL 4670 · flown by Endeavor	3h 23m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 49m	99%	85%
JetBlue Details →	BUF 06:40 → JFK 08:05B6 2001	3h 55m New York	JFK 12:00 → FLL 15:10B6 2201	8h 30m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	BUF 17:12 → ATL 19:23DL 2266	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	7h 27m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON