Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 2049 at 11:07, with a 17% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 2049 JetBlue Flight history →	BUF 11:07	RSW 14:05	17%	5%	2.1%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUF 06:29 → DTW 07:42DL 2898	2h 42m Detroit	DTW 10:24 → RSW 13:24DL 1055	6h 55m	99%	88%
United Details →	BUF 07:08 → ORD 08:04UA 543	3h 06m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → RSW 15:16UA 2137	8h 08m	99%	86%
Southwest Details →	BUF 06:00 → BWI 07:15WN 756	1h 00m Baltimore	BWI 08:15 → RSW 11:06WN 1144	5h 06m	97%	83%
American Details →	BUF 06:01 → CLT 08:01AA 1204	2h 15m Charlotte	CLT 10:16 → RSW 12:23AA 1781	6h 22m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	BUF 06:00 → ATL 08:05DL 2664	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	BUF 17:12 → ATL 19:23DL 2266	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	7h 11m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	BUF 12:16 → ATL 14:22DL 1384	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124	6h 39m	100%	79%
American Details →	BUF 08:05 → ORD 09:06AA 1195	3h 07m Chicago	ORD 12:13 → RSW 16:11AA 1742	8h 06m	98%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON