tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1416 at 07:08, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1416 Southwest BUR 07:08 AUS 12:03 4% 1% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 3h 28m Salt Lake City SLC 13:29 → AUS 17:19DL 2689 8h 19m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453 3h 05m San Francisco SFO 18:18 → AUS 23:58UA 2332 8h 13m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 17:45 → AUS 21:30DL 2728 6h 55m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 07:53 → LAS 09:05WN 786 2h 07m Las Vegas LAS 11:12 → AUS 15:48WN 4096 5h 55m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:00 → SFO 08:28UA 488 2h 39m San Francisco SFO 11:07 → AUS 16:54UA 2432 7h 54m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → BUR 10:53 → SFO 12:21UA 2386 4h 00m San Francisco SFO 16:21 → AUS 21:55UA 2150 9h 02m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 2h 23m Denver DEN 18:39 → AUS 21:57UA 1942 7h 09m 97% 82%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562 1h 03m Portland PDX 10:30 → AUS 16:38AS 540 7h 29m 94% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON