tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2130 at 08:09, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2130 Southwest BUR 08:09 BNA 13:56 11% 2% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 3h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 18:45 → BNA 23:05DL 2317 8h 30m 99% 86%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 07:53 → LAS 09:05WN 786 1h 20m Las Vegas LAS 10:25 → BNA 15:50WN 1915 5h 57m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:00 → SFO 08:28UA 488 3h 07m San Francisco SFO 11:35 → BNA 18:12UA 499 9h 12m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → BUR 13:55 → ATL 21:42DL 483 1h 18m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 7h 20m 90% 80%
UnitedDetails → BUR 10:53 → SFO 12:21UA 2386 2h 00m San Francisco SFO 14:21 → BNA 20:44UA 433 7h 51m 95% 79%
AmericanDetails → BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599 2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:05 → BNA 17:15AA 1181 8h 14m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 1h 14m Denver DEN 17:30 → BNA 21:13UA 1300 6h 25m 92% 77%
AmericanDetails → BUR 12:30 → DFW 17:42AA 1208 2h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:24 → BNA 22:23AA 3230 7h 53m 95% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON