Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 3299 at 11:52, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 3299 SkyWest	BUR 11:52	BOI 15:17	6%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:50 → BOI 00:05 +1DL 2111	6h 11m	99%	90%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562	1h 03m Portland	PDX 10:30 → BOI 12:49AS 2089 · flown by Horizon	4h 40m	94%	89%
Delta Details →	BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582	53m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:54 → BOI 12:09DL 2095	4h 09m	96%	87%
Southwest Details →	BUR 15:56 → LAS 17:09WN 792	2h 33m Las Vegas	LAS 19:42 → BOI 22:28WN 3314	5h 32m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 04m Salt Lake City	SLC 16:37 → BOI 17:51DL 2920	4h 16m	95%	84%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	3h 12m Denver	DEN 19:28 → BOI 21:29UA 2014	7h 41m	98%	84%
Alaska Details →	BUR 11:14 → SEA 13:46AS 1388	1h 59m Seattle	SEA 15:45 → BOI 18:11AS 2061 · flown by Horizon	5h 57m	93%	83%
Alaska Details →	BUR 18:10 → PDX 20:25AS 649	1h 08m Portland	PDX 21:33 → BOI 23:42AS 447	4h 32m	92%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON