Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: United via Denver, leaving 12:48, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	1h 29m Denver	DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374	8h 01m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	BUR 13:55 → ATL 21:42DL 483	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	7h 44m	86%	71%
American Details →	BUR 12:30 → DFW 17:42AA 1208	1h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:05 → FLL 23:07AA 1847	7h 37m	85%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON