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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 16:54, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 3h 46m Salt Lake City SLC 23:36 → MCO 06:00 +1DL 2069 10h 06m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → MCO 23:55DL 2056 8h 20m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 1h 36m Denver DEN 17:52 → MCO 23:41UA 259 7h 53m 94% 78%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 18:13 → SEA 20:54AS 537 2h 05m Seattle SEA 22:59 → MCO 07:07 +1AS 1371 9h 54m 94% 76%
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 1h 49m Salt Lake City SLC 11:50 → MCO 18:10DL 1691 8h 10m 98% 68%
AmericanDetails → BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599 1h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:33 → MCO 17:20AA 1692 7h 19m 95% 64%
AmericanDetails → BUR 12:30 → DFW 17:42AA 1208 1h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:25 → MCO 23:06AA 1336 7h 36m 90% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON