tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 835 Southwest BWI 08:42 GSP 10:24 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1693 Southwest BWI 18:01 GSP 19:33 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:54 → BNA 07:44WN 879 2h 34m Nashville BNA 10:18 → GSP 12:27WN 771 5h 33m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 11:16 → GSP 12:14DL 1725 6h 34m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 13:57 → GSP 14:57DL 3010 6h 40m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:52 → ATL 13:41DL 801 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 16:46 → GSP 17:45DL 3095 5h 53m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → BWI 11:16 → ORD 12:20AA 3762 · flown by Envoy 2h 44m Chicago ORD 15:04 → GSP 17:52AA 4145 · flown by Envoy 6h 36m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → BWI 07:36 → CLT 09:11AA 2670 1h 56m Charlotte CLT 11:07 → GSP 12:14AA 5802 · flown by Piedmont 4h 38m 96% 89%
AmericanDetails → BWI 05:02 → CLT 06:26AA 1708 50m Charlotte CLT 07:16 → GSP 08:18AA 5798 · flown by Piedmont 3h 16m 94% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 17:00 → ATL 19:08DL 2799 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 21:55 → GSP 22:55DL 2281 5h 55m 99% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON