tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3513 Southwest BWI 08:12 SAV 10:17 7% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 3965 Southwest BWI 17:15 SAV 18:59 10% 2% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:54 → BNA 07:44WN 879 2h 19m Nashville BNA 10:03 → SAV 12:30WN 3929 5h 36m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 21m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014 5h 41m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 17:00 → ATL 19:08DL 2799 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 6h 53m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054 4h 47m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601 1h 06m Detroit DTW 08:45 → SAV 10:52DL 1119 4h 44m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:52 → ATL 13:41DL 801 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112 6h 10m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → BWI 14:08 → ATL 16:05DL 2711 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 4h 51m 97% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON