tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1678 Delta Flight history → BZN 06:00 MSP 09:11 3% 2% 0.6% 95%
DL 2946 Delta Flight history → BZN 13:55 MSP 17:21 6% 3% 0.6% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BZN 05:15 → SLC 06:34DL 491 1h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 5h 14m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BZN 12:13 → SLC 13:39DL 1971 3h 42m Salt Lake City SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935 7h 41m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → BZN 06:30 → DEN 08:24UA 1362 1h 16m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 5h 10m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → BZN 16:27 → DEN 18:34UA 431 2h 20m Denver DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667 6h 32m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → BZN 06:30 → DFW 10:38AA 817 3h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:27 → MSP 17:01AA 2406 9h 31m 100% 83%
UnitedDetails → BZN 12:48 → ORD 16:57UA 2202 3h 00m Chicago ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005 7h 53m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → BZN 14:26 → DEN 16:20UA 2258 1h 45m Denver DEN 18:05 → MSP 21:10UA 2076 5h 44m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → BZN 11:53 → DFW 15:53AA 952 2h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:51 → MSP 21:21AA 2806 8h 28m 99% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON