tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4890 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 06:04 LGA 08:15 13% 6% 3.9% 87%
DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 16:46 LGA 18:59 24% 14% 17.1% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHA 08:17 → ATL 09:23DL 3039 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525 6h 33m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:43 → ATL 07:51DL 3057 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → LGA 13:42DL 467 6h 59m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150 6h 15m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHA 13:10 → ATL 14:08DL 1737 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434 7h 17m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:00 → DTW 07:55DL 4652 · flown by Endeavor 2h 10m Detroit DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589 5h 50m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → CHA 14:50 → ATL 15:52DL 3141 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 19:00 → LGA 21:28DL 468 6h 38m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460 5h 49m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet 3h 04m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 7h 26m 98% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CHA 08:24 → ATL 09:28DL 5448 · flown by Endeavor 1h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 4h 18m 70% 63%
UnitedDetails → CHA 13:53 → ORD 14:55UA 4571 · flown by GoJet 57m Chicago ORD 15:52 → LGA 19:07UA 511 5h 14m 66% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON