Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 568 JetBlue	CHS 13:22	BOS 15:42	15%	6%	0.7%	no record
DL 2785 Delta Flight history →	CHS 15:35	BOS 18:04	16%	8%	0.7%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	3h 48m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	7h 35m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862	7h 32m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:41 → ATL 11:00DL 5450 · flown by Endeavor	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:58 → BOS 16:44DL 726	7h 03m	100%	90%
American Details →	CHS 06:00 → MIA 07:46AA 1763	2h 09m Miami	MIA 09:55 → BOS 13:11AA 3247	7h 11m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	CHS 17:00 → ATL 18:19DL 1381	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 20:50 → BOS 23:36DL 300	6h 36m	98%	89%
American Details →	CHS 08:48 → CLT 10:15AA 5817 · flown by Piedmont	2h 01m Charlotte	CLT 12:16 → BOS 14:33AA 1140	5h 45m	100%	89%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289	4h 00m Newark	EWR 11:59 → BOS 13:16UA 1669	7h 16m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → BOS 14:51DL 1293	6h 31m	97%	88%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	CHS 19:46 → IAD 21:30UA 4322 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 26m Dulles	IAD 22:56 → BOS 00:57 +1UA 3929	5h 11m	62%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON