Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:50, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:50	ATL 08:52	10%	3%	0.2%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 06:15 → MSP 07:30DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	3h 43m Minneapolis	MSP 11:13 → ATL 14:46DL 9960	7h 31m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CID 10:54 → MSP 12:09DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	2h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 14:57 → ATL 18:29DL 1036	6h 35m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	CID 17:00 → MSP 18:15DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	1h 44m Minneapolis	MSP 19:59 → ATL 23:34DL 1032	5h 34m	96%	85%
American Details →	CID 05:01 → ORD 06:28AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	2h 01m Chicago	ORD 08:29 → ATL 11:43AA 1153	5h 42m	98%	83%
United Details →	CID 08:50 → DEN 10:04UA 1500	3h 19m Denver	DEN 13:23 → ATL 18:26UA 1671	8h 36m	97%	83%
United Details →	CID 15:16 → DEN 16:30UA 514	1h 43m Denver	DEN 18:13 → ATL 23:24UA 1305	7h 08m	96%	80%
American Details →	CID 07:59 → CLT 11:09AA 1039	3h 20m Charlotte	CLT 14:29 → ATL 15:51AA 5175 · flown by PSA	6h 52m	94%	79%
American Details →	CID 05:01 → DFW 07:22AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:25 → ATL 12:49AA 1276	6h 48m	94%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON