tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1645 United Flight history → CLE 06:08 IAH 08:20 5% 2% 0.6% 92%
UA 1545 United Flight history → CLE 15:11 IAH 17:25 8% 3% 0.6% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:15 → EWR 08:47UA 601 3h 49m Newark EWR 12:36 → IAH 15:34UA 2204 9h 19m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:00 → IAD 07:15UA 1252 1h 57m Dulles IAD 09:12 → IAH 11:14UA 3920 6h 14m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:00 → ORD 07:36UA 490 1h 15m Chicago ORD 08:51 → IAH 11:51UA 535 5h 51m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → CLE 05:35 → ATL 07:22DL 2734 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 39m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CLE 06:00 → MSP 07:04DL 1357 3h 20m Minneapolis MSP 10:24 → IAH 13:14DL 2673 8h 14m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 6h 28m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → CLE 08:47 → ORD 09:19UA 656 3h 21m Chicago ORD 12:40 → IAH 15:40UA 1448 7h 53m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:25 → FLL 10:21UA 715 2h 49m Fort Lauderdale FLL 13:10 → IAH 15:00UA 2162 8h 35m 100% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON