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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:05, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:55DL 2838 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 5h 55m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CLE 05:35 → ATL 07:22DL 2734 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047 5h 12m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CLE 06:14 → DTW 07:13DL 3884 · flown by SkyWest 1h 32m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 25m 95% 88%
DeltaDetails → CLE 18:08 → ATL 20:13DL 880 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 5h 47m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → CLE 13:44 → DCA 15:06AA 5535 · flown by PSA 2h 00m Washington DCA 17:06 → MYR 18:51AA 5266 · flown by PSA 5h 07m 94% 85%
DeltaDetails → CLE 12:37 → ATL 14:29DL 2978 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 6h 30m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → CLE 05:58 → PHL 07:42AA 3302 1h 13m Philadelphia PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 4h 56m 96% 82%
AmericanDetails → CLE 16:28 → CLT 18:11AA 1562 2h 18m Charlotte CLT 20:29 → MYR 21:41AA 1085 5h 13m 95% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON