Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Detroit, leaving 10:26, is the safest bet: 74% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 2207 Delta Flight history →	CLE 07:28	SLC 09:26	5%	2%	0.6%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLE 06:00 → MSP 07:04DL 1357	1h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	5h 59m	96%	92%
Delta Details →	CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:55DL 2838	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 45m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	CLE 05:35 → ATL 07:22DL 2734	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 35m	99%	91%
American Details →	CLE 07:36 → PHX 08:55AA 3110	1h 56m Phoenix	PHX 10:51 → SLC 13:31AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	7h 55m	98%	90%
United Details →	CLE 05:58 → IAH 07:55UA 1645	1h 59m Houston	IAH 09:54 → SLC 12:26UA 2242	8h 28m	99%	90%
United Details →	CLE 07:00 → ORD 07:36UA 490	1h 19m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	6h 39m	97%	90%
United Details →	CLE 16:38 → DEN 18:03UA 486	3h 02m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	8h 06m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CLE 12:37 → ATL 14:29DL 2978	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	9h 25m	100%	90%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON