tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 12:19, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Bozeman on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 2415 American CLT 10:05 BZN 12:30 7% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bozeman on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CLT 06:41 → ORD 07:46UA 1304 1h 24m Chicago ORD 09:10 → BZN 11:44UA 224 7h 03m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491 3h 02m Minneapolis MSP 11:01 → BZN 12:35DL 2946 8h 15m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → CLT 18:10 → SLC 20:29DL 2070 2h 36m Salt Lake City SLC 23:05 → BZN 00:23 +1DL 2046 8h 13m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180 1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:55 → BZN 11:04AA 952 7h 19m 98% 91%
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:46 → ORD 09:02AA 2843 2h 14m Chicago ORD 11:16 → BZN 13:40AA 1080 7h 54m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963 3h 17m Denver DEN 13:44 → BZN 15:33UA 513 8h 53m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CLT 18:58 → MSP 20:47DL 2820 1h 36m Minneapolis MSP 22:23 → BZN 23:52DL 2954 6h 54m 94% 87%
DeltaDetails → CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190 56m Atlanta ATL 14:28 → BZN 16:26DL 406 6h 07m 93% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON