tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2962 American Flight history → CLT 10:28 DSM 12:00 9% 2% 0.6% 81%
AA 3020 American Flight history → CLT 18:39 DSM 19:53 19% 4% 0.6% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Des Moines on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:33 → DSM 10:45DL 1704 6h 15m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 12:25 → DSM 13:34DL 2094 6h 33m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963 3h 03m Denver DEN 13:30 → DSM 16:15UA 1311 8h 35m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → CLT 11:11 → DFW 12:49AA 2747 3h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:53 → DSM 17:52AA 3930 · flown by Envoy 7h 41m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → CLT 06:39 → ORD 07:44UA 1304 1h 35m Chicago ORD 09:19 → DSM 10:26UA 466 4h 47m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 16:37 → DSM 17:52DL 2086 6h 33m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → CLT 06:00 → PHL 07:51AA 1838 2h 47m Philadelphia PHL 10:38 → DSM 12:27AA 5478 · flown by PSA 7h 27m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488 2h 53m Chicago ORD 22:44 → DSM 23:59AA 4402 · flown by Republic 6h 33m 97% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON