Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 1384 American	CLT 12:23	GRR 14:28	14%	3%	0.8%	no record
AA 676 American Flight history →	CLT 19:46	GRR 21:53	23%	6%	0.8%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 09:49 → GRR 11:43DL 2547	6h 13m	99%	92%
United Details →	CLT 06:42 → ORD 07:56UA 1304	2h 41m Chicago	ORD 10:37 → GRR 12:50UA 1297	6h 08m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	CLT 09:42 → DTW 11:30DL 1639	1h 14m Detroit	DTW 12:44 → GRR 13:45DL 5390 · flown by Endeavor	4h 03m	96%	91%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:19 → GRR 17:14DL 2058	4h 55m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	CLT 09:03 → LGA 10:52DL 5723 · flown by Republic	3h 47m New York	LGA 14:39 → GRR 16:42DL 5104 · flown by Endeavor	7h 39m	97%	86%
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488	2h 49m Chicago	ORD 22:40 → GRR 00:34 +1AA 3793 · flown by Envoy	6h 08m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405	1h 08m Detroit	DTW 08:50 → GRR 09:54DL 3500 · flown by SkyWest	3h 54m	97%	84%
American Details →	CLT 17:59 → PHL 19:42AA 423	2h 08m Philadelphia	PHL 21:50 → GRR 23:58AA 5493 · flown by PSA	5h 59m	92%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON