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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:51 am at Charlotte)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: United via Denver, leaving 08:40, is the safest bet: 74% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
AA 1175 American Flight history → CLT 08:52 JAC 11:11 11% 4% 0.3% 86%

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 8h 45m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → CLT 06:43 → ORD 07:57UA 1304 1h 31m Chicago ORD 09:28 → JAC 11:43UA 2176 7h 00m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → CLT 08:16 → LAX 10:29AA 1995 3h 39m Los Angeles LAX 14:08 → JAC 17:30AA 6471 · flown by SkyWest 11h 14m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180 3h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:38 → JAC 12:36AA 1883 8h 51m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 7h 42m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → CLT 11:01 → ORD 12:19AA 2908 1h 05m Chicago ORD 13:24 → JAC 15:46AA 2611 6h 45m 91% 70%
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:46 → ORD 09:02AA 2843 55m Chicago ORD 09:57 → JAC 12:10AA 1898 6h 24m 82% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON