Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 1626 American Flight history →	CLT 10:48	OKC 12:25	12%	4%	0.6%	89%
AA 768 American Flight history →	CLT 20:17	OKC 21:56	19%	6%	0.7%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 09:08 → OKC 10:14DL 2490	5h 44m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020	5h 11m	96%	88%
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	1h 35m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:10 → OKC 10:20AA 1902	5h 35m	98%	87%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	2h 56m Denver	DEN 13:23 → OKC 16:06UA 1656	8h 26m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	5h 03m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:57 → MSP 16:44DL 2819	1h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest	6h 18m	94%	84%
American Details →	CLT 07:33 → DFW 09:23AA 1005	1h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:28 → OKC 11:42AA 3099	5h 09m	96%	82%
American Details →	CLT 07:46 → ORD 09:02AA 2843	3h 03m Chicago	ORD 12:05 → OKC 14:18AA 6337 · flown by SkyWest	7h 32m	100%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON