tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Portland on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 3108 American CLT 16:09 PDX 18:56 16% 3% 1.0% no record
AA 3023 American CLT 15:38 PDX 18:07 18% 4% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491 3h 01m Minneapolis MSP 11:00 → PDX 12:38DL 2167 9h 18m 98% 93%
DeltaDetails → CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 08:30 → PDX 10:27DL 539 7h 57m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963 3h 00m Denver DEN 13:27 → PDX 15:13UA 2455 9h 33m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → CLT 18:10 → SLC 20:29DL 2070 2h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373 8h 34m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405 1h 12m Detroit DTW 08:54 → PDX 10:36DL 2171 7h 36m 96% 90%
DeltaDetails → CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 16:52 → PDX 18:56DL 503 9h 37m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → CLT 14:33 → LAX 16:30AA 1502 2h 56m Los Angeles LAX 19:26 → PDX 22:05AA 6424 · flown by SkyWest 10h 32m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CLT 14:57 → MSP 16:44DL 2819 1h 50m Minneapolis MSP 18:34 → PDX 20:15DL 2151 8h 18m 95% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON