Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 08:01, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	CLT 18:10	SLC 20:29	9%	3%	0.6%	85%
AA 1895 American	CLT 10:13	SLC 12:31	10%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	CLT 15:42 → PHX 16:56AA 3046	3h 01m Phoenix	PHX 19:57 → SLC 22:39AA 4968 · flown by SkyWest	8h 57m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 40m	99%	92%
United Details →	CLT 06:39 → ORD 07:45UA 1304	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 00m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 49m	98%	90%
American Details →	CLT 07:41 → PHX 09:05AA 1678	1h 46m Phoenix	PHX 10:51 → SLC 13:31AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	7h 50m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	CLT 13:17 → DTW 15:00DL 2684	2h 40m Detroit	DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765	8h 17m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	6h 59m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	7h 40m	98%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON