tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via O'Hare, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 70% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic 51m Chicago ORD 07:00 → FLL 11:13UA 1421 5h 43m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:03 → JFK 09:00DL 5656 · flown by Republic 2h 14m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 21m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → CMH 05:06 → CLT 06:34AA 5199 · flown by PSA 1h 51m Charlotte CLT 08:25 → FLL 10:32AA 1419 5h 26m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → CMH 06:09 → CLT 07:39AA 3206 3h 07m Charlotte CLT 10:46 → FLL 13:10AA 2585 7h 01m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → CMH 08:15 → DTW 09:22DL 5812 · flown by Republic 3h 08m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 19m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469 3h 50m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 20m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 22m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:40 → EWR 08:33UA 3458 · flown by Republic 3h 20m Newark EWR 11:53 → FLL 15:13UA 2759 8h 33m 100% 89%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:00 → IAD 07:23UA 4428 · flown by GoJet 57m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 07m 70% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON