tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2205 United Flight history → CMH 06:30 IAH 08:16 11% 3% 0.6% 85%
OO 4700 SkyWest CMH 16:50 IAH 18:29 16% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic 1h 26m Chicago ORD 07:35 → IAH 10:36UA 1231 6h 06m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:02 → IAD 07:26UA 3430 · flown by Republic 1h 46m Dulles IAD 09:12 → IAH 11:14UA 3920 6h 12m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → CMH 08:11 → EWR 10:10UA 3457 · flown by Republic 2h 26m Newark EWR 12:36 → IAH 15:34UA 2204 8h 23m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CMH 08:15 → DTW 09:22DL 5812 · flown by Republic 3h 18m Detroit DTW 12:40 → IAH 14:39DL 1307 7h 24m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → CMH 04:58 → CLT 06:28AA 5199 · flown by PSA 1h 59m Charlotte CLT 08:27 → IAH 10:14AA 2445 6h 16m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → CMH 07:04 → ORD 07:37UA 466 3h 14m Chicago ORD 10:51 → IAH 13:44UA 2767 7h 40m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:40 → EWR 08:33UA 3458 · flown by Republic 2h 20m Newark EWR 10:53 → IAH 13:38UA 556 7h 58m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → CMH 11:03 → ORD 11:39UA 622 2h 52m Chicago ORD 14:31 → IAH 17:28UA 2062 7h 25m 100% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON