Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, AA 3667 at 07:00, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 3667 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	CMH 07:00	MIA 09:44	6%	2%	0.7%	95%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CMH 06:40 → DTW 07:50DL 5701 · flown by Republic	1h 32m Detroit	DTW 09:22 → MIA 12:28DL 1468	5h 48m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → MIA 10:57DL 1510	4h 57m	98%	91%
United Details →	CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic	51m Chicago	ORD 07:00 → MIA 11:24UA 1358	5h 54m	97%	91%
United Details →	CMH 06:04 → IAD 07:48UA 3430 · flown by Republic	57m Dulles	IAD 08:45 → MIA 11:35UA 1073	5h 31m	98%	91%
American Details →	CMH 06:09 → CLT 07:39AA 3206	3h 23m Charlotte	CLT 11:02 → MIA 13:11AA 969	7h 02m	99%	90%
American Details →	CMH 06:14 → DCA 07:49AA 3861 · flown by Envoy	2h 03m Washington	DCA 09:52 → MIA 13:10AA 401	6h 56m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332	5h 57m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	CMH 07:03 → JFK 09:00DL 5656 · flown by Republic	2h 08m New York	JFK 11:08 → MIA 14:22DL 1514	7h 19m	99%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON