Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2142 at 07:31, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2142 Delta Flight history →	CMH 07:31	SLC 09:21	6%	2%	0.6%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic	2h 46m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	8h 09m	100%	91%
American Details →	CMH 06:09 → CLT 07:39AA 3206	3h 21m Charlotte	CLT 11:00 → SLC 13:44AA 1895	9h 35m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CMH 08:15 → DTW 09:22DL 5812 · flown by Republic	2h 58m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	7h 56m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 10m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CMH 14:07 → DTW 15:20DL 5774 · flown by Republic	2h 20m Detroit	DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765	7h 27m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 45m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	CMH 14:00 → MSP 15:07DL 2550	3h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	8h 07m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CMH 07:03 → JFK 09:00DL 5656 · flown by Republic	2h 14m New York	JFK 11:14 → SLC 14:21DL 917	9h 18m	99%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON