tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1200 Southwest COS 06:56 PHX 07:56 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1202 Southwest COS 19:06 PHX 20:04 8% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Phoenix on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → COS 18:16 → SLC 20:09DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 2h 36m Salt Lake City SLC 22:45 → PHX 23:31DL 1496 6h 15m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → COS 10:23 → DEN 11:38UA 5400 · flown by SkyWest 3h 57m Denver DEN 15:35 → PHX 16:35UA 1254 7h 12m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → COS 07:05 → DEN 08:10UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest 1h 33m Denver DEN 09:43 → PHX 10:51UA 1782 4h 46m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 3h 02m Denver DEN 13:35 → PHX 14:46UA 631 6h 26m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → COS 17:13 → DEN 18:25UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 2h 36m Denver DEN 21:01 → PHX 22:12UA 1194 5h 59m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → COS 08:01 → DFW 10:56AA 782 2h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:34 → PHX 14:13AA 1548 7h 12m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → COS 15:55 → DFW 18:50AA 1170 2h 37m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:27 → PHX 22:16AA 2942 7h 21m 95% 78%
AmericanDetails → COS 10:12 → DFW 13:05AA 1552 1h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:30 → PHX 14:57AA 2108 5h 45m 90% 72%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON