tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2776 at 12:13, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2776 Delta Flight history → CVG 12:13 FLL 14:47 7% 3% 0.7% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752 1h 45m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 7h 16m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 49m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CVG 08:15 → ATL 09:45DL 3076 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 12m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 11m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CVG 06:45 → JFK 08:50DL 5044 · flown by Endeavor 2h 24m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 39m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → CVG 07:00 → ORD 07:34UA 2752 3h 25m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 13m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → CVG 10:05 → ATL 11:35DL 963 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 5h 36m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → CVG 06:21 → IAH 07:45UA 2442 2h 33m Houston IAH 10:18 → FLL 14:09UA 2670 7h 48m 99% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CVG 18:29 → DTW 19:50DL 5071 · flown by Endeavor 54m Detroit DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296 5h 13m 70% 59%
UnitedDetails → CVG 16:12 → ORD 16:52UA 4171 · flown by GoJet 54m Chicago ORD 17:46 → FLL 21:45UA 463 5h 33m 71% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON