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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:09, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 5h 51m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → CVG 05:08 → CLT 06:35AA 429 2h 18m Charlotte CLT 08:53 → MYR 10:05AA 2431 4h 57m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:56 → DTW 07:15DL 5307 · flown by Endeavor 1h 30m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 43m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047 5h 13m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → CVG 17:48 → ATL 19:30DL 1008 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 6h 07m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → CVG 11:08 → CLT 12:37AA 430 3h 20m Charlotte CLT 15:57 → MYR 17:09AA 2943 6h 01m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → CVG 13:29 → ATL 15:04DL 3149 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 5h 38m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → CVG 08:57 → CLT 10:28AA 5281 · flown by PSA 52m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:29AA 5315 · flown by PSA 3h 32m 84% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON