Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 1600 at 07:31, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 1600 Delta Flight history →	CVG 07:31	RSW 09:46	7%	3%	1.0%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CVG 05:56 → DTW 07:14DL 5307 · flown by Endeavor	3h 10m Detroit	DTW 10:24 → RSW 13:24DL 1055	7h 28m	99%	89%
United Details →	CVG 07:00 → ORD 07:34UA 2752	3h 35m Chicago	ORD 11:09 → RSW 15:14UA 2137	8h 14m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → RSW 09:43DL 1089	4h 09m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752	2h 00m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	7h 18m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	CVG 08:15 → ATL 09:45DL 3076	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 20m	99%	84%
American Details →	CVG 05:08 → CLT 06:35AA 429	3h 41m Charlotte	CLT 10:16 → RSW 12:23AA 1781	7h 15m	98%	83%
United Details →	CVG 06:26 → IAH 08:04UA 2442	1h 23m Houston	IAH 09:27 → RSW 13:00UA 494	6h 34m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	CVG 10:05 → ATL 11:35DL 963	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	6h 39m	100%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON