tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
F9 1668 Frontier Flight history → CVG 08:54 TPA 11:19 12% 4% 1.0% 88%
DL 1679 Delta Flight history → CVG 15:20 TPA 17:29 19% 6% 1.9% 83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tampa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752 2h 49m Minneapolis MSP 09:54 → TPA 14:16DL 2264 8h 07m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441 1h 36m Atlanta ATL 08:38 → TPA 10:07DL 1227 4h 33m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → CVG 06:00 → EWR 08:07UA 3423 · flown by Republic 1h 22m Newark EWR 09:29 → TPA 12:36UA 1415 6h 36m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → TPA 12:39DL 1099 5h 30m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:57 → DTW 07:17DL 5307 · flown by Endeavor 2h 58m Detroit DTW 10:15 → TPA 12:50DL 2587 6h 53m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → CVG 08:15 → ATL 09:45DL 3076 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 12:46 → TPA 14:13DL 1525 5h 58m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → CVG 16:00 → DTW 17:20DL 5446 · flown by Endeavor 2h 39m Detroit DTW 19:59 → TPA 22:35DL 1355 6h 35m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → CVG 07:00 → ORD 07:34UA 2752 3h 45m Chicago ORD 11:19 → TPA 15:12UA 1834 8h 12m 100% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON