Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, WN 1358 at 14:41, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1358 Southwest	DAL 14:41	CLT 18:06	14%	4%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 26m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	6h 59m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	DAL 11:58 → ATL 15:12DL 441	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158	6h 23m	99%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON