Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1265 Southwest	DAL 12:25	COS 13:36	6%	2%	0.5%	no record
WN 210 Southwest	DAL 19:14	COS 20:16	11%	4%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427	7h 27m	99%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 11:00 → HOU 12:15WN 17	2h 58m Houston	HOU 15:13 → COS 16:37WN 3115	6h 37m	100%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON