Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1077 at 17:37, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1077 Southwest	DAL 17:37	OMA 19:28	15%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	2h 31m Houston	HOU 09:41 → OMA 11:57WN 3570	5h 57m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 40m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010	7h 50m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DAL 11:58 → ATL 15:12DL 441	1h 13m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	5h 50m	96%	86%
Southwest Details →	DAL 16:57 → MDW 19:15WN 1327	1h 00m Chicago	MDW 20:15 → OMA 21:45WN 4750	4h 48m	82%	71%
Southwest Details →	DAL 11:49 → LGA 16:21WN 1281	1h 43m New York	LGA 18:04 → OMA 20:08WN 3204	8h 19m	91%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON