Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, WN 1255 at 10:48, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1255 Southwest	DAL 10:48	SLC 12:27	8%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 45m	99%	92%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	2h 19m Houston	HOU 09:29 → SLC 11:28WN 2031	6h 28m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	DAL 11:58 → ATL 15:12DL 441	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	9h 04m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 22:25 → SLC 00:26 +1DL 453	9h 27m	99%	86%
Southwest Details →	DAL 16:57 → MDW 19:15WN 1327	1h 29m Chicago	MDW 20:44 → SLC 23:11WN 2833	7h 14m	92%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON