tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OH 5061 at 21:09, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OH 5061 PSA DCA 21:09 CHA 23:09 20% 7% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DCA 06:00 → ATL 07:41DL 410 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737 6h 22m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → DCA 08:00 → ATL 09:51DL 343 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141 6h 02m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DCA 12:27 → ATL 14:15DL 380 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → CHA 17:40DL 3124 5h 13m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DCA 16:00 → ATL 18:06DL 360 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 21:47 → CHA 22:42DL 1059 6h 42m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → DCA 06:30 → ORD 07:46UA 1793 2h 39m Chicago ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet 6h 46m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → DCA 08:20 → IAH 10:41UA 697 2h 09m Houston IAH 12:50 → CHA 16:03UA 5091 · flown by SkyWest 7h 43m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → DCA 07:59 → DFW 10:31AA 1978 1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:19 → CHA 15:27AA 2037 7h 28m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → DCA 06:06 → CLT 07:38AA 1521 3h 47m Charlotte CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont 6h 48m 100% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DCA 17:40 → LGA 18:59DL 5763 · flown by Republic 51m New York LGA 19:50 → CHA 22:22DL 5276 · flown by Endeavor 4h 42m 73% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON