tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 731 United DEN 17:36 BUF 22:49 20% 6% 0.5% no record
WN 398 Southwest DEN 13:46 BUF 18:47 22% 6% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Buffalo on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 09:10 → BUF 11:11DL 1384 8h 31m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:10 → LGA 12:52DL 398 3h 20m New York LGA 16:12 → BUF 17:43DL 5792 · flown by Republic 8h 33m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 14:00 → BUF 16:03DL 2266 8h 18m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DEN 08:44 → MSP 11:40DL 2877 3h 42m Minneapolis MSP 15:22 → BUF 18:24DL 1749 7h 40m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:59 → DTW 19:49DL 1648 3h 01m Detroit DTW 22:50 → BUF 23:58DL 978 6h 59m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:40 → ORD 11:10UA 1928 2h 57m Chicago ORD 14:07 → BUF 16:49UA 580 7h 09m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573 1h 49m Charlotte CLT 13:53 → BUF 15:40AA 2442 6h 59m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 21:52 → BUF 23:59DL 2334 7h 49m 98% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → DEN 13:53 → MDW 17:08WN 2613 55m Chicago MDW 18:03 → BUF 20:34WN 3641 4h 41m 69% 60%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON