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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 2066 at 09:52, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2066 United DEN 09:52 GSP 15:00 8% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Greenville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 08:15 → GSP 09:13DL 3089 6h 33m 100% 95%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 14:00 → GSP 14:59DL 3010 7h 14m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:09 → EWR 05:44UA 1745 2h 46m Newark EWR 08:30 → GSP 10:37UA 3604 · flown by Republic 8h 28m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:57 → ATL 12:58DL 995 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 16:46 → GSP 17:45DL 3095 7h 48m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612 1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:41 → GSP 13:09AA 3986 · flown by Envoy 6h 09m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → GSP 19:10DL 1021 6h 18m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 21:55 → GSP 22:55DL 2281 6h 45m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → DEN 08:00 → ORD 11:43UA 2430 2h 12m Chicago ORD 13:55 → GSP 17:00UA 5403 · flown by SkyWest 7h 00m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON